Files
Docs/en/financial-calculations.md
Alex 9fc4c62052 Move entry README to organization profile; Docs keeps documents only.
Root README files removed from Docs; navigation now points to the org profile page.

Co-authored-by: Cursor <cursoragent@cursor.com>
2026-07-18 15:11:40 +03:00

7.4 KiB
Raw Permalink Blame History

Financial Calculations and Return Examples

Language: Русский | English

Navigation: ← Contents · For investors · Business model · Market analysis · Roadmap

This document describes the fund financial model: formulas, parameters, return scenarios, liquidity, and calculation examples for an investor.

If you need:

Important: All projections are a forward-looking vision, not a guarantee. The probability of achieving optimistic projections may be very low (under 10%). Focus on conservative scenarios. More: DISCLAIMERS.md


Contents

  1. Initial conditions
  2. Token pricing mechanism
  3. Liquidity mechanism
  4. Return scenarios
  5. Summary

Initial conditions

Parameter Value
Total governance tokens 3,000,000
Available to LPs 30% = 900,000 tokens
Primary sale price for LPs 1,000 USDT per token
Minimum investment 10,000 USDT (10 tokens)
Maximum investment 100,000 USDT (100 tokens)
Profit distribution 15% dividends / 15% expenses / 70% investments

Forming the initial treasury balance

Sequence:

  1. First-accelerator entrepreneurs (21,000) buy licenses → 84,000,000 USDT
  2. LP investors buy governance tokens (30%) → 900,000,000 USDT

Initial treasury balance: 984,000,000 USDT

Initial minimum token price (treasury backing): 984,000,000 / 3,000,000 = 328 USDT

Primary-sale premium: 1,000 / 328 = 3.05x (premium for future growth)


Token pricing mechanism

Minimum price (treasury backing)

Formula: treasury balance / 3,000,000

Guarantees liquidity — the treasury buys back tokens at this price. Grows as inflows enter the treasury (70% of all revenues).

Market price

May be significantly above the minimum — reflects expected future inflows from licenses and exits. Multiplier 69x of the minimum price (depends on investor expectations).

Holders may sell tokens on the secondary market at market price.


Liquidity mechanism

Treasury buyback

  • Investor sells tokens back to the treasury at the minimum price via smart contract
  • Treasury balance backs buyback of all 3,000,000 tokens
  • Buyback in stablecoins (USDT)

Lock-up period: 60 months (5 years)

  • During lock-up, tokens cannot be sold back to the treasury
  • Applies only to treasury buyback
  • Goal: fund stability, protection from speculation

After the lock-up period

  • Sale to the treasury at the minimum price
  • Sale on the secondary market at market price
  • Transfer to third parties without restrictions
  • All rights (dividends, voting) pass to the new owner

Return scenarios

Investor income sources

  1. Dividends — 15% of all treasury inflows, proportional to share
  2. Minimum-price growth — as the treasury balance grows
  3. Market-price growth — multiplier over the minimum

Two financial-model scenarios

Shared portfolio parameters

Parameter Value
Portfolio companies 600
Initial capital for investments (70% of treasury) 688,800,000 USDT
Average investment per company 1,148,000 USDT
Stages from Pre-seed to ICO

Conservative financial-model scenario (5 years)

Parameter Value
Entrepreneur coverage by year 5 10% of the global market (~33.3 million)
License inflows over 5 years ~93,324,000,000 USDT
Exit rate 10% (60 companies)
Average return from exit 10x
Inflows from exits ~688,800,000 USDT

Treasury balance by year 5:

Component Amount (USDT)
Initial balance 984,000,000
From licenses (70%) 65,242,800,000
From exits (70%) 482,160,000
Total 66,709,160,000

Minimum token price: 66,709,160,000 / 3,000,000 = 22,236 USDT

Market token price (estimate): ~200,000 USDT

Optimistic financial-model scenario (5 years)

Parameter Value
Entrepreneur coverage by year 5 40% of the global market (~133.2 million)
License inflows over 5 years ~373,044,000,000 USDT
Exit rate 20% (120 companies)
Average return from exit 15x
Inflows from exits ~2,066,400,000 USDT

Treasury balance by year 5:

Component Amount (USDT)
Initial balance 984,000,000
From licenses (70%) 261,046,800,000
From exits (70%) 1,446,480,000
Total 263,477,280,000

Minimum token price: 263,477,280,000 / 3,000,000 = 87,826 USDT

Market token price (estimate): ~1,500,000 USDT

5-year return summary table

Conservative (min. price) Conservative (mkt. price) Optimistic (min. price) Optimistic (mkt. price)
Investment 10,000 USDT (10 tokens, share 0.000333%)
Token value 222,360 2,000,000 878,260 15,000,000
Dividends 46,960 46,960 187,368 187,368
Total 269,320 2,046,960 1,065,628 15,187,368
Profit 2,593% 20,370% 10,556% 151,774%
Investment 100,000 USDT (100 tokens, share 0.00333%)
Token value 2,223,600 20,000,000 8,782,600 150,000,000
Dividends 469,597 469,597 1,873,678 1,873,678
Total 2,693,197 20,469,597 10,656,278 151,873,678
Profit 2,593% 20,370% 10,556% 151,774%

Stress test

Scenario Impact on returns
Sales 2× below forecast Minimum price ~11,000 USDT, return ~1,000% over 5 years
Exit rate 5% instead of 1020% Minor reduction — main income from licenses
Token bans in some jurisdictions Refund terms, focus on friendly jurisdictions

Summary

Scenario Probability Return (min. price) Return (mkt. price)
Conservative (10%) Medium (3050%) ~2,593% over 5 years ~20,370% over 5 years
Optimistic (40%) Low (1020%) ~10,556% over 5 years ~151,774% over 5 years

Key takeaways:

  • The main return driver is license sales, not exits
  • The minimum token price is backed by the treasury balance
  • Even in the conservative scenario, returns many times exceed a 2030% target IRR
  • Actual results may differ significantly from all projections — possibly tens or hundreds of times lower
  • All projections are a forward-looking vision, not a guarantee

Additional materials


Contacts: info@hb3-accelerator.com · https://hb3-accelerator.com

Investing in cryptocurrencies and tokens involves high risks, including total loss of funds. More: DISCLAIMERS.md

Last updated: 2026-02-19